Of Trump, Markets, and 2025
A wizard is allowed to hunt once more
Index
I. Forward
II. Reflection
III. Markets
IV. Analysis and Commentary
WIZ CHARTS CHAT
Education & Resources Page
Forward
It is truly a joy to be writing with you once again. My beloved tribe, what great adventures we embarked on last year! The year before just as well, and well the many years before that.
(To name a few - CLSK 0.00%↑ 7>21, AMD 0.00%↑ 120>164, IBM 0.00%↑ 170>217, DIS 0.00%↑ 108>120, GOOGL 0.00%↑ 130>185, TTD 0.00%↑ 90>136, SFM 0.00%↑ 76>155, AMSC 0.00%↑ 12>32, TSLA 0.00%↑ 220>470, MCD 0.00%↑ 254>317, GTLB 0.00%↑ 40>70, $XRP .8 >2.89, BITO 0.00%↑ 24>16 (short), QBTS 0.00%↑ 1.18>9, BBAI 0.00%↑ 1.27>5)
You know the wiz, I am humble and like to hold myself accountable too, I sold on PLTR 0.00%↑ after holding it from 8 dollars into the 20’s, way too early. Same with COST 0.00%↑. I missed on SHOP 0.00%↑ in May, and AMZN 0.00%↑ tho initially successful, never hit my target on timeline.
But that is a part of trading. Yes, I have great discipline, and great hit rates. But, I am far from a perfect being, and I do strive to grow and learn each day. I think that is why we have built this tribe. Not just so you can see me work through much of this, but be part of a community that is working to not just make ourselves better, but the world better.
As we enter 2025, I ask for you to add to your wiz mantras, 2 questions for each day.
In the morning, ask: “What good shall I do today?” and in the evening, ask: “What good did I do today?”
I cannot exactly express in words what I can feel, but I feel a strong spiritual shift into this year. A good, positive, uplifting and loving one.
I think there is a lot to say today, there was a lot to say these last few months. There is so much I want to express to you about my ole wiz bones, my wife, Gwen, our wiz kids. What experiments and technologies I have been bringing forth since we nailed our success.
I am working with a lot of good people that are coming forth to make positive change in the United States. This is not about politics, this is about building a great future for humankind.
The year ahead in my belief will be one of the best opportunities we’ve had in recent years, but unlike last year, it will be significantly harder if you are not used to understanding and playing the timing with how Trump works.
Fortunately, you have this ole wiz who can and will sherpa to the best of my ability up this hill over the next 4 years. There will no doubt be a lot of volatility, but markets ultimately should continue to rise.
I just know that it will be marked with tons of fuckery and volatility. Market makers will leverage against retail so that you feel markets are collapsing, then 2 weeks later magically, we are back to all time highs. Or there may be quick switches in liquidity that result in 3 straight down months, before a 6 month surge.
Just know, I have been preparing for all of this with my team here, and I will make sure this tribe is looked after and taken care of. Stick with the ole wiz and I will guide you through ;)
Some side notes - you may recognize this from the sub discount section:
My goal for the substack this year is to grow it to 2,000 subs, and we currently stand at 1,300 tribe members strong!
Well today, the last day of the year I officially hit 2k subs!!
Thank you, I am incredibly humbled. I just never thought 2k people would want to read my writings, yet here we are.
Subscription Discounts!!
If you enjoy the stack, make sure to like this post, restack, retweet, subscribe to the tribe. It goes a long way and I think 95% of those that upgrade will say they’ve seen their trading improve incredibly. But enough of the biz, let’s get down to wiz.
Student Special (note need a .edu email) :
If you aren’t already taking advantage of the student discount I really encourage students to do it. I want education to be accessible and for my stack to be less than your Netflix Subscription.
I also take serious pride in this being an affordable educational site. I am adding a veteran discount on top of adding student discounts to subscriptions.
Refer a Friend and Receive Discounts off your subscription
VETERAN DISCOUNTS FOR WIZ SUBSTACK (need a vmail.vet address)
Reflection
I talked previously higher up about adding 2 mantras to your day to build on your introspection.
But I submit a third challenge and join this wizard in praying each morning.
“To whatever powers may be, thank you for returning my soul from the dust to this earth for one more day to do good”
The last couple of months, I’ve had moments that really scared me about the fragility of life. That life can be just taken away at any moment. It is not so much that I have never realized this, but I think if you are familiar with my other writings, you will often see that I talk about a haze of consciousness.
It isn’t always the most top of mind thing each day to remember how close to death we all are.
It is not something to be afraid of, I think there is great peace in your own time. I also have explored for you the realms of the psychedelics, meditated to lands that many have not seen, consulted spirits on many matters. There is definitely another side. This is far from the end of our journey.
But with that comes somewhat of a responsibility. Knowing this, thrusts upon us a duty to help others through this life. Whatever shadows this thing is, it is upon us to reconcile our inherited deficiencies and work to master and overcome them.
The debate on free will even seems a bit silly to me. I am a coded being. DNA that I did not choose runs through me. Objects much greater than me influence my existence, my thinking. The universe has apparent rules to it that I could not change if I so chose to or not. I can not decide that today I will fly, or that tomorrow the sun will be purple.
I cannot decide where I was born, I cannot decide what addictions I’ve been given. Is that defeating?
Only if we stop our thinking there yes. We are a blend of objects not within our control, and objects within our control. Free will exists to degrees of freedom.
I do not think anyone of us will ever be judged for how we acted in our weakest moment, but how we choose to redeem ourselves and fight for that redemption in this life.
I am just a man, I have my limits. Some chains will never be broken, I will not somehow morph one day into an octopus. I will not be able to morph out of a lot. But I have no limits on my kindness, on my compassion, on my bravery, on my understanding, on my mercy.
At the end of the day, it is our creator who will know what our max levels were and whether we pushed ourselves to it.
This year -
be kind, it will show your strength.
be compassionate, it will show your character.
be brave, it will show resilience.
be understanding, it will show your wisdom.
be merciful, it will show your love for this life and the next.
Markets
DXY has topped, if you read my twitter today, you will see, I am not yet unshackled from 2024 after hitting my numbers, but I sense a great uptrend in the works. Not just within SPY but looking further to smaller caps.
I like one of the major trends of this year to be individual small cap stocks for now. We wrote it up on the white board as a major theme for 2025.
I am working on the math for the projections of SPY, but to be honest, my year end target seems to be around 647 right now, with some need for refinement.
plenty of other great winners in the box. MBLY 0.00%↑ without a doubt has a big pop waiting for it, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it can get into the 60’s off a squeeze.
For now, we know it has a 30% short interest on it, with a lot of momentum building for it, not just on the chart but within this company as well.
Short term target still remains 28-33, with a nice extension into 38 possible as well. We’re nearly there, no short wants to give in but we’re over the down trendline, with everything swing up for this stock. It should be bigger things ahead.
Right now, I am holding Jan 17’s for 20-25c, as well as Feb monthlies for 20-25c as well.
A squeeze never happens until it does. So many that we could look back at where it felt like molasses and then pop goes the weasel.